Examining the Euro case

Published: 19 October 2004 y., Tuesday
The pensions question needs to be resolved between Poland and Eurostat and at some point there will be some form of agreement. MichaŠŠ DybuŠŠa, chief economist with BNP Paribas: "The pensions question needs to be resolved between Poland and Eurostat and at some point there will be some form of agreement. The final exchange rate for the Euro will need to be found and calculations would indicate that a rate could be 4.20 zŠŠoty or even slightly less at 4.10. "If you look at Poland and the rest of the Central European countries, they are much closer to convergence in terms of business structures than, say, Portugal, Greece and Ireland were, and that will allow them to withstand the asymmetrical shock of convergence. "Secondly, the Euro zone offers the benefit of taking advantage of lower interest rates. In the Euro zone they have a base rate of 2 percent and in Poland interest rates are 6.5 percent. This is a tremendous difference and will be greatly appreciated by businesses. So from these points of view we can say the quicker the better in terms of joining the Euro zone. "In terms of entry, Slovenia is particularly well placed, but if you look at the four Central and Eastern European countries-Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Poland-we are well placed because not all the other countries have such good economic track records. "Opposition might come from old EU countries like France and Germany, which are suffering at the moment and might say taxes are too low and that Poland will offer unfair competition. This is the political dimension, and if France and Germany do not feel very secure it could prove a difficulty. One can imagine that Poland's fiscal policy and figures will not only be scrutinized in Brussels but will be examined in great detail in the likes of Paris and London. I can't talk for the political sector but the business sector is prepared to weather this and that indicates the strength of Poland in these areas. "The only area where I can see a detrimental effect is the death of the Polish markets. That will mean there is no more work for people like me and we will have to find other work. Putting that aside, there seems to be a certain amount of optimism when you consider membership in the Euro zone."
Šaltinis: wbj.pl
Copying, publishing, announcing any information from the News.lt portal without written permission of News.lt editorial office is prohibited.

Facebook Comments

New comment


Captcha

Associated articles

The most popular articles

Commission recommends to open excessive deficit procedures for Cyprus, Denmark and Finland

The European Commission today concluded on the existence of excessive deficits in Cyprus, Denmark and Finland and recommended deadlines for their correction to the Council. more »

Globalisation fund: Parliament backs aid to Ireland and Spain

Over 2000 former construction workers in Spain and nearly 600 ex-employees of Irish glass company Waterford Crystal and its suppliers will receive a total of €11 million in aid from the EU Globalisation Adjustment Fund to help with training, business start-ups and job guidance under plans agreed by MEPs and the Council of Ministers. more »

Budget 2011 negotiations coming closer - MEPs decide on tactics

MEPs on Tuesday decided six top priorities and a number of additional key issues for the upcoming negotiations on the 2011 budget. more »

EU-China research cooperation in the spotlight at World Expo Shanghai

The EU-China Science and Technology Week starts today at the heart of World Expo Shanghai. more »

European Investment Bank and European Commission to explore EU climate finance initiative

European Climate Action Commissioner Connie Hedegaard and European Investment Bank President Philippe Maystadt agreed on Monday to explore a joint climate finance initiative for developing countries as part of the European Union commitment made at the UN climate conference in Copenhagen last December. more »

Interconnected energy grid - a first step towards an EU energy community

Sustainability, competitiveness and security of energy supply: the three pillars to the foundation of a new EU energy community. more »

European Commission set to help Palestinian economy with full opening of EU market

EU Trade Commissioner Karel De Gucht and Palestinian Minister of National Economy Hasan Abu-Libdeh today discussed measures to enhance EU-Palestinian bilateral trade relations and to facilitate trade of Palestinian products to EU markets. more »

Affordable hybrid cars, bus systems that get people out of cars, “intelligent” cargo and much more: Brussels showcase for smarter and greener transport innovation

Some of the most innovative and exciting transport research projects funded by the EU are being showcased at the Transport Research Arena (TRA) in Brussels this week. more »

Galileo: European alternative to GPS needs more funding

Nowadays we rely heavily on satellite positioning and navigation, but the only available technology is American. more »

Conference to present the future of transport networks in Europe

The European Commission will reveal how it aims to revamp its transport networks policy in response to the challenges of the 21st century at a conference dedicated to the Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) in Zaragoza on 8 and 9 June. more »