The pensions question needs to be resolved between Poland and Eurostat and at some point there will be some form of agreement
Published:
19 October 2004 y., Tuesday
The pensions question needs to be resolved between Poland and Eurostat and at some point there will be some form of agreement.
MichaŠŠ DybuŠŠa, chief economist with BNP Paribas:
"The pensions question needs to be resolved between Poland and Eurostat and at some point there will be some form of agreement. The final exchange rate for the Euro will need to be found and calculations would indicate that a rate could be 4.20 zŠŠoty or even slightly less at 4.10.
"If you look at Poland and the rest of the Central European countries, they are much closer to convergence in terms of business structures than, say, Portugal, Greece and Ireland were, and that will allow them to withstand the asymmetrical shock of convergence.
"Secondly, the Euro zone offers the benefit of taking advantage of lower interest rates. In the Euro zone they have a base rate of 2 percent and in Poland interest rates are 6.5 percent. This is a tremendous difference and will be greatly appreciated by businesses. So from these points of view we can say the quicker the better in terms of joining the Euro zone.
"In terms of entry, Slovenia is particularly well placed, but if you look at the four Central and Eastern European countries-Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Poland-we are well placed because not all the other countries have such good economic track records.
"Opposition might come from old EU countries like France and Germany, which are suffering at the moment and might say taxes are too low and that Poland will offer unfair competition. This is the political dimension, and if France and Germany do not feel very secure it could prove a difficulty. One can imagine that Poland's fiscal policy and figures will not only be scrutinized in Brussels but will be examined in great detail in the likes of Paris and London. I can't talk for the political sector but the business sector is prepared to weather this and that indicates the strength of Poland in these areas.
"The only area where I can see a detrimental effect is the death of the Polish markets. That will mean there is no more work for people like me and we will have to find other work. Putting that aside, there seems to be a certain amount of optimism when you consider membership in the Euro zone."
Šaltinis:
wbj.pl
Copying, publishing, announcing any information from the News.lt portal without written permission of News.lt editorial office is prohibited.
The most popular articles
European Commission Vice-President Siim Kallas, responsible for transport, today presented to the College a preliminary assessment of the economic consequences for the air transport industry of the volcanic ash crisis.
more »
Boosting economic recovery, investing in Europe's youth and in tomorrow's infrastructures are the priorities of the 2011 draft budget adopted by the Commission on 27 April 2010.
more »
European Competition Commissioner Joaquín Almunia welcomes proposed commitments by Visa Europe to significantly cut its multilateral interchange fees (MIFs) for debit card payments.
more »
Because of the Icelandic volcano, flower growers in Colombia couldn't get their stems to markets in Europe.
more »
The Second Vice President of the Spanish government and Minister of Economy and Finance, Elena Salgado, on Sunday played down the importance of apparent fissures within the EU concerning the Greek financial crisis, expressing her confidence that all countries would support the aid package for this country, which will be accompanied by a tough budget-tightening plan.
more »
Commission launches an information campaign on the CE conformity mark - designed to ease the free movement of goods around Europe and protect consumers.
more »
If Europe's airports ever open again the introduction of new security measures like body scanners will be expensive.
more »
After Eurozone Finance Ministers agreed measures to address Greece’s financial woes last Sunday, MEPs quizzed leading economic figures, including the chairman of Goldman Sachs - former financial advisors to the Greek government - on how to strengthen EU economic governance and improve reporting of national statistics.
more »
The European Tourism Stakeholders Conference, being held in Madrid today and tomorrow, will explore ways and means to strengthen the visibility of tourism at a European level and to verify how the actions to promote a competitive EU tourism industry.
more »
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), World Bank Group member IFC, and The Netherlands Development Finance Company (FMO) have joined up with the Asia Debt Management Hong Kong (ADM Capital) to establish a regional fund to invest in midsize companies facing financing difficulties as a result of the financial crisis.
more »