Examining the Euro case

Published: 19 October 2004 y., Tuesday
The pensions question needs to be resolved between Poland and Eurostat and at some point there will be some form of agreement. MichaŠŠ DybuŠŠa, chief economist with BNP Paribas: "The pensions question needs to be resolved between Poland and Eurostat and at some point there will be some form of agreement. The final exchange rate for the Euro will need to be found and calculations would indicate that a rate could be 4.20 zŠŠoty or even slightly less at 4.10. "If you look at Poland and the rest of the Central European countries, they are much closer to convergence in terms of business structures than, say, Portugal, Greece and Ireland were, and that will allow them to withstand the asymmetrical shock of convergence. "Secondly, the Euro zone offers the benefit of taking advantage of lower interest rates. In the Euro zone they have a base rate of 2 percent and in Poland interest rates are 6.5 percent. This is a tremendous difference and will be greatly appreciated by businesses. So from these points of view we can say the quicker the better in terms of joining the Euro zone. "In terms of entry, Slovenia is particularly well placed, but if you look at the four Central and Eastern European countries-Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Poland-we are well placed because not all the other countries have such good economic track records. "Opposition might come from old EU countries like France and Germany, which are suffering at the moment and might say taxes are too low and that Poland will offer unfair competition. This is the political dimension, and if France and Germany do not feel very secure it could prove a difficulty. One can imagine that Poland's fiscal policy and figures will not only be scrutinized in Brussels but will be examined in great detail in the likes of Paris and London. I can't talk for the political sector but the business sector is prepared to weather this and that indicates the strength of Poland in these areas. "The only area where I can see a detrimental effect is the death of the Polish markets. That will mean there is no more work for people like me and we will have to find other work. Putting that aside, there seems to be a certain amount of optimism when you consider membership in the Euro zone."
Šaltinis: wbj.pl
Copying, publishing, announcing any information from the News.lt portal without written permission of News.lt editorial office is prohibited.

Facebook Comments

New comment


Captcha

Associated articles

The most popular articles

Bankers have lost their friends in Davos - EP vice-president

Reform of the banking system was one of the key themes at this year's World Economic Forum in Davos, with bankers coming in for a lot of criticism. more »

Support small firms while tackling the crisis, say MEPs and experts

Small firms have been hard hit by the economic crisis, and so must be given incentives and support, including easier access to credit, help with innovation, tax breaks and less red tape, MEPs on Parliament's Special Committee on the Financial, Economic and Social Crisis (CRIS), and experts agreed at a workshop on Monday. more »

Reopening of trade negotiations between the EU and Central America within sight

The elections and investiture of Porfirio Lobo as President of Honduras have cleared the way for the EU to restore normal relations with the Central American country and negotiations for signing a bi-regional Association Agreement may soon resume. more »

European Globalisation Fund set to help workers in the furniture manufacturing and clothing industries in Lithuania

The European Commission has approved applications from Lithuania for assistance under the European Globalisation Adjustment Fund (EGF). more »

State aid: Commission takes Italy to Court for failure to recover illegal aid from hotels in Sardinia

The European Commission has decided to refer Italy to the European Court of Justice (ECJ) on the basis of Article 108(2) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (TFEU) for failing to comply with a Commission decision of July 2008. more »

EBRD’s first investment in deposit insurance entity

The EBRD is helping to strengthen the financial sector in Bosnia-Herzegovina (BiH) with a €50 million credit line to the Deposit Insurance Agency of Bosnia and Herzegovina (DIA), the Bank’s first investment in a deposit insurance entity. more »

EBRD’s first investment in gas sector in Bosnia and Herzegovina

In its first investment in the natural resources sector in Bosnia and Herzegovina, the EBRD is providing a €17 million sovereign loan to finance the gasification of the Central Bosnia Canton. more »

EBRD supports private businesses in Armenia

The EBRD is increasing the availability of financing to private businesses in Armenia with a $5 million credit line and a $3 million trade finance facility to ArmSwissBank for small and medium companies (SMEs). more »

European Commission: Lithuania Has Taken Effective Action

On January 27 the European Commission assessed the action taken by Lithuania, Malta, Latvia and Hungary in response to recommendations proposed by the Commission and endorsed by the Council in July 2009 in respect to the correction of their respective budget deficits. more »

Lithuania’s GDP Growth Largest in EU in Q3

EUROSTAT announced that Lithuania’s GDP rose by 6.1 % in the 3rd quarter of 2009 versus the previous quarter. more »