The pensions question needs to be resolved between Poland and Eurostat and at some point there will be some form of agreement
Published:
19 October 2004 y., Tuesday
The pensions question needs to be resolved between Poland and Eurostat and at some point there will be some form of agreement.
MichaŠŠ DybuŠŠa, chief economist with BNP Paribas:
"The pensions question needs to be resolved between Poland and Eurostat and at some point there will be some form of agreement. The final exchange rate for the Euro will need to be found and calculations would indicate that a rate could be 4.20 zŠŠoty or even slightly less at 4.10.
"If you look at Poland and the rest of the Central European countries, they are much closer to convergence in terms of business structures than, say, Portugal, Greece and Ireland were, and that will allow them to withstand the asymmetrical shock of convergence.
"Secondly, the Euro zone offers the benefit of taking advantage of lower interest rates. In the Euro zone they have a base rate of 2 percent and in Poland interest rates are 6.5 percent. This is a tremendous difference and will be greatly appreciated by businesses. So from these points of view we can say the quicker the better in terms of joining the Euro zone.
"In terms of entry, Slovenia is particularly well placed, but if you look at the four Central and Eastern European countries-Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia and Poland-we are well placed because not all the other countries have such good economic track records.
"Opposition might come from old EU countries like France and Germany, which are suffering at the moment and might say taxes are too low and that Poland will offer unfair competition. This is the political dimension, and if France and Germany do not feel very secure it could prove a difficulty. One can imagine that Poland's fiscal policy and figures will not only be scrutinized in Brussels but will be examined in great detail in the likes of Paris and London. I can't talk for the political sector but the business sector is prepared to weather this and that indicates the strength of Poland in these areas.
"The only area where I can see a detrimental effect is the death of the Polish markets. That will mean there is no more work for people like me and we will have to find other work. Putting that aside, there seems to be a certain amount of optimism when you consider membership in the Euro zone."
Šaltinis:
wbj.pl
Copying, publishing, announcing any information from the News.lt portal without written permission of News.lt editorial office is prohibited.
The most popular articles
According to Spain's Minister of Industry, Tourism and Trade, Miguel Sebastián, currently chairing an Informal Energy Council today in Seville, the key to achieving a common EU energy market is to establish interconnections.
more »
Mr. Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), announced today that the Fund will provide US$100 million very rapidly in emergency financing to Haiti to assist it in dealing with the aftermath of the massive and devastating earthquake that has hit the country.
more »
Mr. Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), issued the following statement on Jamaica today.
more »
The Government of the Republic of Korea and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced today that they will jointly host a high-level international conference on Asia in Seoul, South Korea, during July 12-13, 2010.
more »
Mr. Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), will travel to Tokyo and Hong Kong SAR, January 18−20, 2010.
more »
After lots were drawn, ten winners of Danske Bankas scholarships and one winner of an iPod shuffle player were established.
more »
The Meeting is convened on the initiative and by the resolution of the Management Board of the Bank.
more »
Today, Thursday, on the second and last day of their informal meeting in La Granja (Segovia), the ministers responsible for European Affairs will study the challenge of how to boost reflation through sustainable growth that generates new employment.
more »
How well-equipped are European companies to meet the challenges of global competition and the recent recession? The 2009 European Company Survey provides some clues.
more »
The European Commission decided today not to raise any objections to Finland's plan to support infrastructure investments in Vaasa regional airport.
more »