Secondary fixed income yields continued to decline on Monday as the Monetary Council of central bank MNB lived up to market forecasts of a 25 basis point rate cut.
Benchmarks rates in maturities of up to three years were down 3-8 basis points, while yields in longer maturities declined 13-14 bp, the Government Debt Management Agency (AKK) reported.
The fall in yields must have come as a surprise to some analysts, who had expected yields to correct upward by 10-15 bp after the decision, given that a cut of over 50 bp had been priced in by the yield curve prior to the decision. While MNB head Zsigmond Jarai did not say with absolute certainty that the rate cut cycle will continue at this pace, Raiffeisen Securities cites market opinions that foresee rate cuts
totaling up to 150 bp within the next 12 months.
According to DZ Bank analysts, prospects for further rate reductions should keep rate cut hopes alive, preserving value in the short and intermediate segments of the curve up to the five-year maturity over the next six months.
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INTERFAX-EUROPE
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